Superbowl Stat Superbowl I

[XLFD]

Welcome to the Superbowl, Torch-style! If you just enjoy the commercials or look forward to a matchup of two legendary teams pitted against each other you can still participate in the first ever Stat Superbowl at the Ludington Torch.

To enter, you need to make twelve predictions based on various statistics that will come to light after the conclusion of the Superbowl. You need not know a lot about football, but it could help in your choice of numbers. Four of those twelve choices are based on Green Bay (GBP) stats, four are based on Pittsburgh (PS) stats, and the other four are sum totals of both teams.

To enter submit just one post that assigns a number for each of the following stats before game time (this coming Sunday night). Points will be assigned for each SSS participant based on how far you are from each actual statistic (the Deviation Interval (DI), explained later).

1) GBP Final Score (DI- 4)
2) PS Final Score (DI- 4)
3) GBP Total Rushing Yards (DI- 12)
4) PS Total Rushing Yards (DI- 12)
5) GBP Total Passing Yards (DI- 25)
6) PS Total Passing Yards (DI- 25)
7) GBP Total Return Yards (Kick-off and Punts) (DI- 12)
8) PS Total Return Yards (DI- 12)
9) Total Attempted Passes in Game (DI- 4)
10) Total Complete Passes in Game (DI- 2)
11) Total Rushing Attempts in Game (DI- 4)
12) Total Number of Turnovers (fumbles lost and interceptions) in game (DI- 1)

If you guess the number exactly, you will get 8 points for that statistic. If you are within one DI from the stat, you get 6 points. Two DI, you get 3 points; within three DI, you get an extra point, 1.

For example, here is the box score of the NFC Championship game between the Packers and the Bears:  http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/football/nfl/gameflash/2011/01/23/...

Suppose you posted the numbers (assuming the Bears (CB), rather than the PS): 35, 17, 120, 154, 280, 220, 90, 120, 52, 33, 44, 2.

GBP scored 14 more pts. than you guessed, that is over 3 DI away from your guess: 0 pt.
CB scored 3 pts. less than you guessed, one DI away: 6 pt.
GBP rushed for 120 yds. in the actual game, exactly what you guessed!: 8pt.
CB rushed for 83, 71 yds. less than your guess and more than 3 DI away: 0 pt.
GBP had 254 passing yds., 26 less than your guess, two DI away: 3 pt.
CB had 233 passing yds., 13 more than your guess, 1 DI away: 6 pt.
GBP had 57 return yds., 33 less, and 3 DI from your guess: 1 pt.
CB had 101 return yds., 19 less, and 2 DI from your guess: 3 pts.
68 Attempted Passes in the game, 16 more than you hoped, and over 3 DI away: 0 pt.
36 Complete passes fall within 2 DI of your guess of 33: 3 pt.
56 rushing attempts is twelve from your guess, and just gets you within 3 DI: 1 pt.
5 Interceptions and 1 lost fumble add up to 6 which is 4 DI from 2: 0 pt.

Add this all up and you get 31 points as your score.  High score wins the SSSI.

The winner of the first Superbowl Stat Superbowl will get a special E-award, a shiny SSSI E-ring, a brand new E-car, and be a featured member of the Torch until the beginning of baseball season.

They will also get 20% of any money (if any) that is pledged to the Ludington Torch during this period via the donate button at the bottom of the main page. Help us all by supporting the fine programming you regularly receive from the Torch.  

The first hundred donors will receive the latest track from Daniel O'Donnell's latest rap album.  Caution: he's had a few shots of Irish whiskey and establishing some street cred, so be mindful of the young lads and lasses nearby the computer.

 

[XLFD]

I'll start off:  24, 21, 144, 98, 298, 278, 83, 95, 55, 29, 46, 3

Twelve numbers in order for the stats numbered above.  Go Packers!

[Edie Lindsey]

I'm going to get in a guess later this week, once I figure out what all your abbreviations are for, and once I figure out what this foosball thing is. 

Let me get something straight.  Is the DI  a measure of how far away from the game statistic you are, plus or minus?  That is, if you had Green Bay at 24, and they scored between 20-28, you would be within the first DI ?!  And then 16-19 or 29-32 would be in the second DI ?  Let me know, I tried to follow your example but my knowledge is limited, as most would tell me.

DOD is so hot when he gangsta raps. 

[AQUAMAN]

WTH, do I need a Doctorate Degree to get into this? Sure looks like Rocket Scienxe from this standpoint. .........................Ugh.

[Willy]

Why not just have us guess the combined total score? Like Pit. 35, GB 28 = 63. But you also must pick the winning team.

[XLFD]

Having a Superbowl Stat Superbowl concerned with just scores and their totals would be like having a Bud Bowl without all those bottles having little helmets on their heads. 

Don't get caught up with the DI lingo, that's more for figuring your final score, and Edie basically got the idea.  Just guess the various stats mentioned.  Maybe look at a past Packer or Steeler box score against a comparable opponent and see the trends.  I understand a level of confusion, but just try to put a guess into the 12 stats above.

[AQUAMAN]

I already learned quantitative statistics and the pathagorum theorum, dabbled with a little calculus too, it never mattered in a football game as far as I know though. So, why not keep the beer bottle heads off, so we can drink the beverage, instead of analyzing it to death? It's just Football afterall. Btw, wth is a DI, deviation interval? Is that during halftime when we make another beer run? And the deviants get restless when Hooter girls make a delivery?

[charlemagnetism]

just football... its the friggin SUPERBOWL.  all apologies to the good men and women here at LT for my language but i been reading that local paper of yours. 

[Willy]

OK

28, 35, 210, 180, 250, 280, 100, 80, 55, 40, 50, 4

[charlemagnetism]

heres one for you  13, 20, 70, 160, 225, 210, 66, 98, 58, 33, 39, 2. 

[Dave]

28

34

132

189

336

290

212

176

72

42

55

5

There ya go... surely the most accurate predictions you'll see anywhere... unless of course they are completely wrong... lol

[Edie Lindsey]

Being that the last football movie I've seen is one with a donkey able to kick a 100 yard field goal, I'm at a big disadvantage here.  I read so far three guys voting against the Pack Attack.  Not here, I'm predicting a rout by the Green Machine.

45

20

202

69

306

249

100

100

70

36

41

3

 

[Dave]

I'm going to throw in a little something for the prize pack too... the winners choice of a Ted Nugent or Rick Nielsen (Cheap Trick) guitar pick. I scored several picks from both awhile back and still have a few left so if ya win and you want one, I'll throw one in.