Welcome to the Superbowl, Torch-style! If you just enjoy the commercials or look forward to a matchup of two legendary teams pitted against each other you can still participate in the first ever Stat Superbowl at the Ludington Torch.
To enter, you need to make twelve predictions based on various statistics that will come to light after the conclusion of the Superbowl. You need not know a lot about football, but it could help in your choice of numbers. Four of those twelve choices are based on Green Bay (GBP) stats, four are based on Pittsburgh (PS) stats, and the other four are sum totals of both teams.
To enter submit just one post that assigns a number for each of the following stats before game time (this coming Sunday night). Points will be assigned for each SSS participant based on how far you are from each actual statistic (the Deviation Interval (DI), explained later).
1) GBP Final Score (DI- 4)
2) PS Final Score (DI- 4)
3) GBP Total Rushing Yards (DI- 12)
4) PS Total Rushing Yards (DI- 12)
5) GBP Total Passing Yards (DI- 25)
6) PS Total Passing Yards (DI- 25)
7) GBP Total Return Yards (Kick-off and Punts) (DI- 12)
8) PS Total Return Yards (DI- 12)
9) Total Attempted Passes in Game (DI- 4)
10) Total Complete Passes in Game (DI- 2)
11) Total Rushing Attempts in Game (DI- 4)
12) Total Number of Turnovers (fumbles lost and interceptions) in game (DI- 1)
If you guess the number exactly, you will get 8 points for that statistic. If you are within one DI from the stat, you get 6 points. Two DI, you get 3 points; within three DI, you get an extra point, 1.
For example, here is the box score of the NFC Championship game between the Packers and the Bears: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/football/nfl/gameflash/2011/01/23/...
Suppose you posted the numbers (assuming the Bears (CB), rather than the PS): 35, 17, 120, 154, 280, 220, 90, 120, 52, 33, 44, 2.
GBP scored 14 more pts. than you guessed, that is over 3 DI away from your guess: 0 pt.
CB scored 3 pts. less than you guessed, one DI away: 6 pt.
GBP rushed for 120 yds. in the actual game, exactly what you guessed!: 8pt.
CB rushed for 83, 71 yds. less than your guess and more than 3 DI away: 0 pt.
GBP had 254 passing yds., 26 less than your guess, two DI away: 3 pt.
CB had 233 passing yds., 13 more than your guess, 1 DI away: 6 pt.
GBP had 57 return yds., 33 less, and 3 DI from your guess: 1 pt.
CB had 101 return yds., 19 less, and 2 DI from your guess: 3 pts.
68 Attempted Passes in the game, 16 more than you hoped, and over 3 DI away: 0 pt.
36 Complete passes fall within 2 DI of your guess of 33: 3 pt.
56 rushing attempts is twelve from your guess, and just gets you within 3 DI: 1 pt.
5 Interceptions and 1 lost fumble add up to 6 which is 4 DI from 2: 0 pt.
Add this all up and you get 31 points as your score. High score wins the SSSI.
The winner of the first Superbowl Stat Superbowl will get a special E-award, a shiny SSSI E-ring, a brand new E-car, and be a featured member of the Torch until the beginning of baseball season.
They will also get 20% of any money (if any) that is pledged to the Ludington Torch during this period via the donate button at the bottom of the main page. Help us all by supporting the fine programming you regularly receive from the Torch.
The first hundred donors will receive the latest track from Daniel O'Donnell's latest rap album. Caution: he's had a few shots of Irish whiskey and establishing some street cred, so be mindful of the young lads and lasses nearby the computer.
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Guess again?
With 4 TD's one with a 2 pt. conversion, 3 FGs and 2 PATs, someone beat Edie by a whopping 7 points at 37.
And who was that?
Sweet, smashable little me! And I even guessed the winner.
If we break it into quarters, by taking the stats three at a time, here's the scoring:
XLFD: 9, 13, 6, 9 37
RJE: 7, 7, 1, 6 21
Charl: 6, 2, 9, 12 29
Dave: 7, 6, 3, 3 19
Edie: 3, 12, 4, 11 30
Aqua: 9, 0, 7, 12 28
Both Edie and I scored the only dead-on hits, when we forecasted 3 turnovers.
Aquaman and I tied for closest prediction of the score.
Charlemagne did best on the rushing guesses, GB only got 50 yards and he was the only one to score.
Edie forecasted the passing game almost perfect, missing the two stats by 2 and 14 yards respectively.
Charl did the best on the Returns.
Aquaman got TD's on 3 of the last 4 stats.
That was one impressive playoff run by the Packers. The way they were almost beat by the Lions twice had me doubting them. And their 6 losses. Brett who? How do you spell that?
I also need to get that guitar pick from Dave now...
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