Just a few weeks earlier than this last year the East had a huge tropical system that caused the worst flooding the Susquehanna water shed had ever seen disrupting many events including a local Fair that had not been cancelled in more than four decades.
Now with Halloween and the elections less than 2 weeks away, it has occurred to me. Pennsylvania has been described by some pollsters as the new Ohio. Typically Republicans find their ways to the polls in far greater numbers than Democrats in bad weather conditions. There are several very close races out in the East here which could be swayed by a very few numbers of votes. Any predictions?
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I figured there might be historical data that may say something about bad weather and voters, but I found a relatively recent survey conducted for the Weather Channel.
The survey, conducted by Ipsos for The Weather Channel in late August, targeted registered voters in the so-called battleground states where the presidential race is considered most competitive – Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Other key findings included:
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