On Monday, September 27, the new Superintendent Peg Mathis sent out a letter to parents telling them that Mason County's test positivity rate (TPR) over the last week was well over 10% meaning that the Ludington Area School District (LASD) children would need to wear masks this week.  This definitely contradicts the new policy that Ms. Mathis posted after the school board met last Monday, which said the new safety mitigation plan passed that night only had a recommendation for mask use in the schools, that is parents and/or students had the right to not wear a mask.  

So less than one week after the superintendent says masks are optional, she put out a letter saying that the old policy was still in effect after the change in general policy.  We've already took a look at this self-contradiction, and have determined that the policy passed on September 20th should be the dominant policy-- whenever a body with legislative powers passes a law antagonistic to prior laws not specifically repealed in the new law, the most recent law is the one that has effect.

But that's not the only lie the LASD is passing along in order to keep your schoolchildren muzzled.  Jesse Rickard (pictured above), the LASD Director of Business Services, put out a September 19 letter to parents telling them that the TPR results of the prior week were still beyond the 10% threshold and masks would need to be worn for the next week (and they remained mandated despite the policy change passed on 9-20-2021).  Rickard tells us that the TPR was 12.94% for the one week period between September 10-16 inclusive.  The CDC record of what the TPR was for Mason County during that period is much different.

Note that after September 16th, the rates have fluctuated back up which explains the TPR being at 13.13 for September 18-24.  But when one looks at the Sept. 10-16 period we see a lot of low numbers for the 7 day moving averages.  First off, we should know the terms.  A seven day simple moving average is the average of the data from the prior 7 days of data points.  If one looks at the graph above, they will find the average rate of the period between September 10-16 just by looking at the value for the 16th.  

One can see from a blowup of the CDC Mason County TPR graph that the 9-16-21 average over the prior seven days was approximately seven percent, not the 12.94% that was claimed by Jesse Rickard.  Even had the LASD's statisticians erroneously relied on the averages of the seven day averages over that period (in the graph, where the green line intersects the red and black lines), the result would be just under 7% (14 + 8 + 7 + 5 + 3 + 3 + 7 = 47, 47/7 = 6.71).   

The LASD Board specified that they would be using the CDC statistics when they voted for their 10% TPR threshold in August, any way one looks at that data, you get a result of around 7%, meaning that even hadn't the policy been changed to make masks optional (but recommended), that the CDC TPR results would reflect that masks would be optional for the school week of September 20-24-- but they weren't, because the director of business services can't figure out how to interpret a graph-- or maybe because he intentionally misread the stats. 

Ironically, Jesse Rickard has an awful lot of pictures in his Facebook feed showing him having a blast in high school about 15 years ago.  Neither involve him or others wearing a mask, so you can actually see the expression in all of their faces in that small window of opportunity that we all have to enjoy our high school years-- before we all grow up and some of us have to fudge the stats so the next generation can have their development and social development stunted.

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Many parents are still afraid of how they may be perceived or depicted by those who command the Kool-Aid dispensaries that allow obvious scientific fallacies to be put out there as undisputable 'science'.  On our Facebook sister, the Ludington Pitchfork, we have a few members who are total tools of the progressive/communist left that won't believe anything beyond what they are fed, even if it's factual, provable using real science, or backed by the wrong type of scientists.  Not surprisingly, this is what they accuse 'Murica types of doing.

There is no way to verify the test positivity rate by the public, this is exactly what they want, but if you think they are being honest with you just look at the most recent figures in the TPR graph of Mason County:

You will notice that the 7 day moving average of TPR is Zero on Sep 26; the only way that can happen since TPR cannot be less than zero is if the TPR for the full 7 day period is zero throughout!

Using the CDC's statistics which says that there was no positive test between Sep 20-26 in Mason County, the interim superintendent nevertheless sent out a letter on Sep 27 saying that the TPR in Mason County is too high for her own defined period, not consistent even with the school policy passed on Aug 30 which says any seven day period.  You can't get lower than 0% over a 7 day period. 

Thanks for explanation X. You make far better sense than the damned fools in charge of the schools. My opinion of these experts can be summed up in a quote by Carlo M. Cipolla "Always and inevitably everyone underestimates the number of stupid individuals in circulation.

Good points LL. Your right about the money and politics.

Let's see if I understand what's going on. Those who are supposed to be in the know are demanding that masks be worn by Ludington's school children because the entire county of Mason, they claim, has over a !0% infection rate, even though those that are infected may live on the other side of the County. Where are the stats showing who is infected, where they live, how old they are, their health risk factors and have they been vaccinated? It would be useful to know how many children are infected in the LASD. Even if their figures were correct why mask the children if the number of infections is going down? This is an insane situation. Their TPR results make  as much sense as the chart I found and posted below.

It's all about control. Do as I say or else!!!!!!  Do a GOOGLE of  page 168 of the infrastructure bill. Why haven't we heard of that on the news? That's beyond control, that's who the Democrat's are.  Do as I say or else.

It has been on the news. The conservative news outlets. The bad thing is that this is only 1 of thousands of   fascists control measures in this horrendous bill. I start my day listening to WMAL 105.9 FM. A Washington DC radio station. Excellent talk shows all day long. My favorite is Chris Plante.

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